ANON
            Remember I have no name...

                                   BLIEDEN
            Right.

                                   ANON
            And there is no me as a real person.

                                   BLIEDEN
            Hello there.  That's the voice of the anonymous man I interview on this
            show.  My name is Michael Blieden and this is The Cold Bath.   You're
            listening to Episode 9 "Failure Moves West."  I have to say I think this is
            the most linear conversation I think we've had of the whole run.  Anyone
            looking for an overview of political power throughout all of recorded
            history might be interested in this episode.  You want to start?

                                   ANON
            Sure.  You were saying that there's construction around us and they make
            noise.

                                   BLIEDEN
            Yeah every couple minutes you hear like a... it sounds like someone is
            putting a slab of concrete through a lathe.  

                                   ANON
            Mhmm.

                                   BLIEDEN
            That's what it sounds like to me.

                                   ANON
            Now I can guarantee you this is not being done by the masked media.  This
            is just because the have to build these houses and we're in a house and
            they had to build this too.  And you said...

                                   BLIEDEN
            I wish they weren't doing it right now.  Or ever.  

                                   ANON
            Okay, now.  They have to build more houses because they built your house. 
            You're living in a house, in other words you're like the second generation
            Americans who object to there being a third generation of Americans. 
            You want to pull up the drawbridge.  But life doesn't work that way.  Other
            people have to be given the same rights we've given ourselves and there
            has to be more construction because there are more people.  I don't know
            exactly how many people there are in America.  No one does, but there are
            around 300 million.  Now probably we could grow to around a billion.

                                   BLIEDEN
            In the United States.

                                   ANON
            In the United States.  We are unbelievably bigger than India and India's
            population I think is a 1,100,000,00 and growing.  

                                   BLIEDEN
            Well, okay...I want to ask you to...I don't know if you'll be willing to do this
            or not but I want you to lay out the geometry of the powers that be.

                                   ANON
            Right. 

                                   BLIEDEN
            In the world right now.

                                   ANON
            Right.

                                   BLIEDEN
            And their subsets.  Like um...you know...us Russia, China, India, Iran,
            Pakistan.  Who's in who's club.  

                                   ANON
            Right. Okay.  This will not be easy, and I am hardly an expert, but here
            goes.  Spengler in 1928, and by the way he's very good on the subject of
            the press.  He says this wonderful thing.  He says the press exchange
            truths, interchange truths.  Three weeks of press work and the truth is
            acknowledged by everybody.  He explained in "The Decline Of The West,"
            that failure moves west, meaning at one time Persia, the old name for
            Iran, was one of the great powers.  Then it moved west, the Babylonian,
            Syrian, Hittite, that neck of the woods.  And then jumped the
            Mediterranean and not just the Athenians but the Greeks together, and let
            me give you an idea of how many of them there are.  Aristotle personally
            wrote 128 constitutions for different states.  Try that.  He was
            Alexander's political and philosophical advisor.  His teacher.  

                                   BLIEDEN
            Is this leading to modern power geometry.

                                   ANON
            Yeah.  Yeah.   It's about how failure moves west.  Because Greece was the
            great imperial power and then it moved...remember Greece didn't
            evaporate, but the power shifted west to Rome.  Then it went both west
            and south.  That's why Carthage had to be destroyed.  Carthage is Tunisia. 
            Incidently the smartest Arabs who get along the best in Europe are
            Tunisians.  Because they have that Carthaginian background.  And it's a
            background from 2,500 years ago but apparently these things to do not
            change that much.   Then failure moved further west when Rome failed. 
            You know, it took a few hundred years but Rome failed and it....you know
            Rome's still there.  In fact I visited someone who was living in the same
            house his family had lived in for 2,000 years.  Anyway failure moves west,
            according to Spengler.  And then every European country had its century. 
            And...

                                   BLIEDEN
            I find it comforting to think that guy's living in the same house that his
            family's been living in for 2,000 years because there's so much talk about
            the United States being in a state of decline and...

                                   ANON
            Everyone is always in a state of decline.  But when the Titanic, and
            remember I was on it, when it hit the iceberg it did not sink in ten
            seconds. It took hours and hours.  I'd like to talk about the movie Titanic
            sometime because it's the most shameless film and it's meant to appeal to
            12 year old girls' sexuality.  But that's another question. 

                                   BLIEDEN
            So...

                                   ANON
            So failure moves west and every one of the European countries; France,
            Spain, you know Austria Hungary was the power of their century. And
            then the ones that, if you went to the post-60's university you've at least
            heard of.  Like England.  England was the great power from Elizabeth on. 
            Again this disproves the feminist nonsense.  Elizabeth was, as far as
            anyone could determine, a woman.  And her father was Henry VIII and
            she liked sex as much as he did but she became a virgin after having had a
            very active sex life.  She wanted to be the unifying force of her country
            which was on the balls of it's ass when she came in at 19.  And by the time
            she left it was the greatest power in the world.  Then failure moved west
            and the British among the imperial powers: Spain, France, Holland,
            established the United States.  This is the creation of the Enlightenment. 
            This is the Enlightenment made into a country.  This is the idea become
            flesh and there was an Englishman who I said on a previous show that
            gave the greatest quotation in American history and that is "no."  In
            answer to the question "you want to be the King, don't you?"  Because
            that's what they knew.  

                                   BLIEDEN
            You're talking about George Washington.  

                                   ANON
            George Washington.

                                   BLIEDEN
            You know I took that chunk out of that episode so that hasn't been said on
            the show yet.

                                   ANON
            Oh. Oh oh alright. That's the greatest American quotation.  It's not in any
            history book.  They must have asked him, because they knew nothing but
            kings, "you want to be the king now."  And only some...a few hotheads like
            John Adams and Thomas Jefferson would have opposed this.  

                                   BLIEDEN
            They asked George Washington....

                                   ANON
            Yeah, "Do you want to be the king?"  And he said, "No."  Not, "Oh Gee.  No." 
            "No!" Definite no.  And as a result we don't have a king.  When Franklin
            was leaving that hall where they had nailed the windows shut so nobody
            could hear what they were saying...

                                   BLIEDEN
            This is the hall where they actually wrote the constitution.

                                   ANON
            That's right.  Where they made the country.  Benjamin Franklin left the
            hall where they nailed the windows shut and a man, I don't know if
            history records his name of not, again I finished my education at the
            ninth grade, he said, "What kind of country have you given us."  And he
            said,"A Republic, if you can keep it."  A Republic only meant a country
            without a king.  And um... 

                                   BLIEDEN
            The "if you can keep it" part meant...

                                   ANON
            If you can keep it.

                                   BLIEDEN
            ...meant if you can fucking keep it.

                                   ANON
            Yes.  If you can keep it.  Let met tell you what one sentence made the
            country.  The various colonies saw themselves as very independent and
            separate entities. 
            And we still use the phrase "the several states." And there was someone in
            Massachusetts, not John Kerry, the smartest lawyer in Massachusetts,
            John Adams.  And he stood up among the Massachusans and said "I know
            a Virginian." And if George the Third had not been insane he would have
            said "That's it." There's a sports announcer called Warner Wolf and he
            says "you could have turned your sets off there."  Well, when John Adams
            said, "I know a Virginian..."

                                   BLIEDEN
            He was talking about...

                                   ANON
            He was talking about George Washington.  He wasn't the smartest
            American by any means.  He wasn't the smartest revolutionary by any
            means.  But he had this ability that people have to have in a democratic
            country.  He could knock the heads of the five thousand prima donnas who
            had invented the revolution...you never heard the name of the inventor of
            the revolution.  His name is James Otis.  He thought up the American
            Revolution, but a British tax collector beat him so badly that although he
            didn't die for two years he was just gone.  He was in the physical state that
            I am in now.  But these ideas have to be put out there and have to be
            laundered and dry cleaned before they can be worn.  And because of the
            person who had been in charge of the Army, and I just wanna, when you
            hear about Bush and the generals and Bush and the Congress I want you
            to hear this story from my youth, which is in 1775.  Washinton writes a
            letter to the assholes in the Congress and he says "Dear Assholes."  But he
            doesn't because he'a  gentleman.  I am not. And he said, "Dear Assholess, I
            have heard of men..."  That's a form of English called Asshole Understood. 
            "I have heard of men being opposed to the maintenance of a standing
            army. What I have never heard of is men being opposed to the
            maintenance of a standing army during the middle of a war."  That's what
            I mean by asshole understood.  

                                   BLIEDEN
            When John Adams said, "I know a Virginian," they were...

                                   ANON
            Planning the revolution. 

                                   BLIEDEN
            Okay.

                                   ANON
            They were planning the revolution.  And he said "I know a Virginian."  It
            was like saying "I know a Martian. I know a hated man from Texas.  I
            know a hated man from New York. I know someone from..."  

                                   BLIEDEN
            Oh everyone knew him at this point and didn't like him?

                                   ANON
            No. No no no.  It was just that he was from another colony.  And the
            Massachusans' attitude hasn't changed in 240 years.  

                                   BLIEDEN
            I see.  It was the fact that he was from Virginia.  

                                   ANON
            Nor have the Virginians.  It was the fact that he was from Virginia.  But
            Adams was the smartest lawyer in Massachusettes.  He was not a ruling
            class man like some of the others.  He was a very middle class man.  And
            he knew, he knew someone who had the balls...one of Franklin Roosevelt's
            Supreme Court justices whom he appointed defined not just FDR, but
            defined the successful American president forever.  He said, "Second rate
            mind, first rate temperament.  

                                   BLIEDEN
            I think this is in the Episode 4.  

                                   ANON
            I think it could be said twice.  

                                   BLIEDEN
            Okay.

                                   ANON
            I think it's a very important thing because people who have gone to the
            Narrowversity have the idea that the president need be some kind of
            intellectual like James Madison.  Madison was a disaster as the President.  

                                   BLIEDEN
            So let's go back to...

                                   ANON
            One of the smartest Americans... 

                                   BLIEDEN
            Let's go back to failure moves west.  

                                   ANON
            Okay, so naturally every human has a birth, a time when they're
            absolutely helpless, you know, when other powers can come in and
            destroy them and just dumb luck saves them.  And then they have a period
            of building. 
            A period of learning, a toddlerhood, a period where they're very amusing
            to others wobbling as they walk down the street.  And because all
            countries are just humans writ large.  But there's a ditsinction because
            people have friends.  Peoples do not.   Countries do not have friends nor
            enemies.  They only have interests. Then they reach the teenage stage. 
            We're above the teenage stage now.   America has found itself, and lost
            itself because we are entering into our anecdotage.  I can already see
            China in its ascendency. And although China is in its ascendencey the
            United States in not the Titanic and we have not struck the iceberg.  Not
            by any means.  We have struck many icebergs and they've patched it up.    

                                   BLIEDEN
            I tell you something I think it'll be actually...I think it will be a huge load
            off everyone's mind if we are the number two power.  I think everyone
            will...I think it will be great.

                                   ANON
            No it won't.

                                   BLIEDEN
            I think it will be great because...

                                   ANON
            No it won't.

                                   BLIEDEN
            ...we'll get over the...it won't be our responsibility to take care of
            everything. 

                                   ANON
            If you think that...if you think that, give away 90 percent of your money. 
            Give away 90 percent of your youth.  In fact if you're going to do that, give
            it to me.  But it doesn't matter because you're in your late 30's?

                                   BLIEDEN
            I'm 35.

                                   ANON
            That's late enough. And you'll see that China will not be the main power
            in the world in your lifetime.  You'll be so old you just won't care.  China is
            not our enemy.  It's our competitor.  Some Chinese are our enemies, but
            many Chinese are our friends, and more Chinese want to be us, which is
            different from hatred.  Competition is good if both competitors are sane
            and sensible.  Of the biggest cities in the world, most of them are in China
            now.  But China is not going to be the most populous country in the world
            in 5 years.  India will have a greater population and remember India's
            population is going up and China's is either flat or slightly declining.  

                                   BLIEDEN
            What defines a country in its ascendency.  Is it the fact that they're
            beating the replacement rate?  Is it their economic status? 

                                   ANON
            Well first of all they have gone from fantastic unimaginable poverty ... 

                                   BLIEDEN
            This is India?

                                   ANON
            China. Both.  Both.  They have gone from fantastic and unimaginable
            poverty to...there are more middle class people in China than in America. 
            They're not as middle middle class, but there are more roughly.  Now
            remember ours is a population of 300 million and there's is a population
            of a billion one hundred million plus, but there were very few middle class
            Chinese.  There was a super ruling class.  The kind of people who dined on
            the hundred year old egg.  Means nothing to you.  Means a lot to the
            Chinese.  And there were people who had many cars, concubines,
            whatever...I just want to say one thing about Washington and the
            Chinese.    

                                   BLIEDEN
            Mhmm.

                                   ANON
            I'm sure there was an intellectual in Western Central China who when he
            heard, and it must have taken six months, a year, that Washington has
            said "No I don't want to be the king," there was an explosion of freedom in
            the mind of that Chinese intellectual in 1776 because he said, "why not
            us."  

                                   BLIEDEN
            You think that Washington's decision not to be king had worldwide
            implications?

                                   ANON
            It was a revolution throughout  the world.  It didn't just resound in
            London or Paris.  Paris, it overwhelmed their government.  It
            overwhelmed their government.  It transformed their society.  When
            1776 happened the French began their revolution which culminated in
            1789.  And there was a not quite so extraordinary revolution in England
            too.  It's not like flipping on a lightswitch.  It takes place over decades and
            centuries.